【第十九届中国国际橡胶技术展览会】橡胶技术展丨橡塑机械展丨橡胶机械设备展

国际橡胶：人民币汇率破7

2019-08-07

东京早盘RSS2001合约开盘在167.5日元，较上一交易日上涨1.6日元。TSR2002合约开盘在155.6日元，较上一交易日上涨13.6日元。美元兑日元汇率早间在106.312附近。

昨天的东京橡胶市场在中国政府出手稳定离岸人民币汇率之后，远月合约反弹至165日元附近。早盘，由于前一天中国央行默认在岸人民币汇率时隔10年升至7.0以上，一时间中美贸易摩擦再度升级，美国很有可能在今年10月份的外汇市场报告中将中国定为汇率操纵国，离岸人民币早间大幅贬值至7.14附近。之后市场传闻中国政府及时出手干预，稳定离岸人民币汇率，金融市场上的风险回避行情开始回调，东京橡胶市场上在上海以及新加坡市场的反弹作用下回升至前一交易日价格水平。

现货方面，8月6日3号烟片8月期FOB价格在45.96泰铢附近，较上一交易日下跌2.34泰铢。20号标胶8月期FOB价格在41.28泰铢附近，较上一交易日下跌1.28泰铢。USS现货价格在39泰铢附近，较上一交易日持平。

技术方面来看，RSS远月合约价格在尝试160日元整数位一线不果后，在市场的自律性反弹作用下回升至165日元附近。由于现货价格再次下跌，预计短期内会在160-165日元区间内做小幅振荡。走势上关注160日元一线的支撑。

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