机动车保有量破4亿辆，替换轮胎需求量将达到......

2022-04-13

机动车保有量突破4亿辆

公安部最新统计，截至2022年3月底，全国机动车保有量达4.02亿辆，其中汽车3.07亿辆。2022年一季度全国新注册登记机动车934万辆，新领证驾驶人775.8万人。79个城市汽车保有量超过100万辆，20个城市汽车保有量超过300万辆。

新能源汽车保有量高速增长

截至3月底，全国新能源汽车保有量达891.5万辆，占汽车总量的2.90%。其中纯电动汽车保有量724.5万辆，占新能源汽车总量的81.27%。一季度新注册登记新能源汽车111万辆，占新注册登记汽车总量的16.91%，与去年同期相比增加64.4万辆，增长138.20%，呈高速增长态势。

轮胎替换市场仍有较大增长空间

根据这两年的数据来看，全国汽车保有量一直在增加。我国汽车保有量增加，将创造出新的轮胎市场。与此同时，中国轮胎的替换率也在不断上升。20年前，中国轮胎替换率还不到1，十年前，国内轮胎替换率已经达到1-1.1，近两年，国内轮胎的替换率已达到1.3-1.5。替换率的不断上涨代表了国内轮胎市场的需求，由于轮胎替换率的提升，轮胎需求数量会高于汽车保有量的增长速度。如果按照平均每台车每年换1.5条轮胎的替换率，当前中国汽车轮胎替换市场需求量约为4.6亿条。

业内人士分析指出，我国的汽车保有量极限预计约在5亿辆左右，且还需要至少30年才能到达饱和期，也就是说，中国的轮胎市场至少在30年内是上升趋势。到2050年左右，中国轮胎替换市场极限需求约为6.75亿条；按照汽车年销量3000万辆，原配市场需求约1.5亿条，年轮胎需求总量约为8.25亿条。

2022年3月汽车工业经济运行情况

现场图片

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