2020年5月中国进口天然及合成橡胶(含胶乳)合计44.1万吨

「行业资讯」2020年5月中国进口天然及合成橡胶(含胶乳)合计44.1万吨

2020-06-08

据中国海关总署6月7日公布的数据显示，2020年5月中国进口天然及合成橡胶(含胶乳)合计44.1万吨，同比降13%。

2020年1-5月中国进口天然及合成橡胶(含胶乳)共计259.8万吨，较2019年同期的263.5万吨下降1.4%。

宏观方面，美国第一季度实际GDP创2009年来最大季度跌幅，是自2014年第一季度GDP下滑1.1%以来首次出现负增长。经济活动急剧下降，就业继续减少。国际地缘政治局势趋紧，双方关系紧张，市场避险情绪升温。国内两会结束，对市场推动政策发布不及预期，市场期待有更多刺激政策出台。

全球疫情控制，复工、复产及经济活动不断恢复，对下游需求存有增加预期。但外贸出口压力短时间难有缓解，贸易商信心不足，在历史低价仍未有明显抄底迹象，交投谨慎。目前国内云南产区基本开割，但开割初期胶水产出偏少，原料产出显紧俏，中旬左右或能有明显改善。中下旬产区产出增速加快，国内市场到港量增加，库存压力加重。技术分析上来看，周均线呈粘合状态，短期震荡，等待方向性突破。策略上建议RU2009可在逢低做多，设好止损，中长线持有。STR20报1220-1240美元/吨，SMR20报1190-1210美元/吨，

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